NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Pacers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060f8adff46b30d3ba89accbbd6bdca82b0fe83879278742a88b4c6252630605

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pacersof Heat, Pacers
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,221,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,501,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,221,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers	54c	194,433$105,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88,575.79	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Pacers	32c	176,386$57,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119,369.68	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers	31c	105,625$32,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,007.48	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Heat	69c	74,555$51,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,280.8	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Heat	68c	67,000$45,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,659.23	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Pacers	31c	63,000$19,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,470	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Pacers	78c	55,054$42,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,119.58	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Heat	42c	45,193$18,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,981.05	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…460dbacked Heat	61c	39,365$24,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,077.21	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat	51c	38,089$19,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,503.64	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers	59c	34,616$20,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,197.19	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	26c	33,010$8,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,454.43	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	68c	31,250$21,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,256.52	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Heat	68c	30,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat	68c	30,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Heat	69c	25,243$17,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,450.02	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	34c	25,193$8,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,630.92	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	69c	23,998$16,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,554.81	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Heat	62c	22,268$13,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,755.46	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat	42c	21,448$9,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,061.7	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Heat	68c	21,000$14,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,280	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers	32c	20,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,599.99	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pacers	32c	20,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,599.85	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Heat	18c	19,643$3,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,490	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	67c	19,263$13,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,001.56	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…fdffbacked Pacers	32c	18,597$5,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,646.02	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+159.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Heat	69c	17,387$12,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,013.55	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Pacers	58c	16,092$9,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,763.05	166	57.2%95 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Heat	46c	15,979$7,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,275.28	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	23c	15,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Heat	3c	13,108$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.57	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Pacers	75c	12,918$9,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,220.02	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pacers	31c	12,033$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,282.7	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Heat	68c	11,856$8,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,002.66	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Heat	68c	11,800$8,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,024	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x81cb…a228backed Heat	73c	11,325$8,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,266.89	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Heat	68c	10,712$7,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,315.48	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Heat	73c	10,411$7,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,600	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers	28c	10,100$2,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,272	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Heat	71c	10,044$7,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,100	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Heat	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pacers	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,800	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pacers	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,799.99	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…e5d7backed Heat	25c	9,858$2,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,467.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	29c	9,781$2,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,872.97	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Pacers	32c	9,190$2,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,249.07	284	39.8%113 W · 171 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Heat	33c	9,179$2,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,994.36	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Heat	68c	9,001$6,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,120.66	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	8,651$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Heat	1c	8,300$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Pacers	63c	8,155$5,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,017.43	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers	31c	8,064$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,564.15	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pacers	31c	7,000$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,830	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Heat	23c	6,818$1,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.07	265	46%122 W · 143 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers	31c	6,452$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,451.88	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pacers	27c	6,248$1,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,560.8	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bc…84febacked Heat	72c	6,000$4,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,330	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Heat	68c	5,911$4,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,019.34	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…eee2backed Heat	2c	5,895$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.57	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	69c	5,844$4,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,027.06	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat	66c	5,825$3,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,832.82	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Heat	5c	5,795$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.14	103	4.9%5 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Heat	60c	5,677$3,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,405.45	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x473a…d89dbacked Heat	72c	5,534$3,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,984.78	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+164.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers	31c	5,500$1,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,795	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Pacers	65c	5,281$3,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,851.49	161	36%58 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Heat	3c	5,183$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.32	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	31c	5,065$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,582.46	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pacers	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.98	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Heat	10c	4,959$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.55	342	27.2%93 W · 249 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat	68c	4,368$2,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Heat	68c	4,198$2,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,871.62	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f19…2eccbacked Pacers	29c	4,000$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Heat	71c	4,000$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pacers	72c	3,946$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.59	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat	41c	3,927$1,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,628.36	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Heat	42c	3,810$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Heat	40c	3,726$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Heat	69c	3,717$2,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,559.33	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat	67c	3,664$2,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,455.2	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Heat	2c	3,600$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers	65c	3,534$2,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.59	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Heat	1c	3,472$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Pacers	74c	3,410$2,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.36	96	40.6%39 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…934bbacked Heat	71c	3,400$2,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,414	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Heat	69c	3,345$2,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,308.14	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Pacers	29c	3,287$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,327.56	399	58.4%233 W · 166 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	37c	3,227$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.43	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Heat	25c	3,220$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.15	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60de…6453backed Pacers	32c	3,125$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,125	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-4.5wins	-0.30per pick	37cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Pacers	32c	3,125$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,125	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Heat	34c	3,082$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.15	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42f7…5b3ebacked Heat	67c	3,067$2,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.09	90	38.9%35 W · 55 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.3	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Heat	69c	3,000$2,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers	31c	3,000$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,070	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Pacers	31c	3,000$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,070	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Pacers	41c	3,000$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,780.46	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Heat	41c	2,978$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.63	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Heat	69c	2,899$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Pacersthis page
1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)Pacers won
Heat vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds Over 4.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-6.5)Pacers won
Spread: Heat (-7.5)Pacers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Pacers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event