NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef69539fe74feb86514b11a60e82fc1ede3ce394116538eaf5023fa65481a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 19,841$9,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,920.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 18,522$9,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,546.31 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 50c | 12,539$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.34 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…84fabacked Under | 50c | 11,749$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Under | 51c | 9,412$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…4710backed Under | 49c | 9,039$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 8,297$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 8,136$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc61…16b8backed Under | 50c | 7,020$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…dd5cbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…098ebacked Under | 48c | 4,063$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,900$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Over | 48c | 1,802$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.07 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 1,721$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.33 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 1,249$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 1,240$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,056$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.24 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ff…2390backed Under | 49c | 981$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Under | 49c | 598.05$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.01 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 596$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 458$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 446.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…2564backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Over | 27c | 185.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Under | 73c | 175.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Over | 51c | 144.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 51c | 96.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 90.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 84.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 74.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 58.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 53.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…88a3backed Over | 54c | 35.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 35.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Over | 51c | 26.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…2388backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 49c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Under | 57c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…9aafbacked Over | 65c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)Pacers won
- Heat vs. PacersPacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds Over 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.