NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17524c35d22cc6d5eec05397db0a858bdb98abb0405c4d659b46832ddd90ab47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Heat, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 53c | 147,687$78,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,762.66 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 50c | 102,228$51,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,586.2 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 49c | 73,407$36,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,274.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 47c | 56,901$26,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,800.31 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Heat | 46c | 26,667$12,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,266.8 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…eddebacked Heat | 46c | 19,565$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heat | 47c | 11,261$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.67 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Heat | 46c | 8,887$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.81 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 46c | 8,459$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Heat | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…5260backed Heat | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.88 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…6fedbacked Heat | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 51c | 5,763$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Heat | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers | 51c | 4,492$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.08 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 22c | 4,197$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 53c | 3,977$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 46c | 3,551$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.3 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat | 46c | 3,300$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…57cfbacked Pacers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Heat | 47c | 2,896$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…dce2backed Pacers | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Heat | 47c | 2,636$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,595$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Heat | 50c | 2,336$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Heat | 47c | 2,304$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.69 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 51c | 2,135$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.1 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Pacers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Pacers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pacers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Heat | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Heat | 52c | 1,600$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.73 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pacers | 55c | 1,529$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.09 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…ad9cbacked Heat | 1c | 1,520$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Pacers | 55c | 1,365$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.52 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Heat | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Heat | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat | 45c | 1,182$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Heat | 46c | 1,078$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Heat | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.69 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Pacers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Heat | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pacers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 50c | 714.44$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Pacers | 50c | 668.28$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.14 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pacers | 55c | 636.48$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.82 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Pacers | 53c | 631$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Pacers | 55c | 578$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Heat | 50c | 527.77$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.89 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Pacers | 49c | 435.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Heat | 46c | 426.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Heat | 47c | 404$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Pacers | 55c | 402.24$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heat | 47c | 390.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Pacers | 55c | 377.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Pacers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Pacers | 55c | 354.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…eee2backed Heat | 10c | 312.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Pacers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Pacers | 55c | 299.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Heat | 49c | 291.6$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Heat | 16c | 262.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Heat | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Heat | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Heat | 11c | 211$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Heat | 17c | 203.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Heat | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Heat | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Pacers | 54c | 183.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Heat | 46c | 151.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pacers | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…45b9backed Heat | 46c | 147.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pacers | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9f5cbacked Pacers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Pacers | 55c | 143.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pacers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Heat | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 46c | 136.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers | 50c | 135.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Heat | 46c | 134.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed Pacers | 54c | 126.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…51adbacked Heat | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Heat | 52c | 121.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Heat | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Heat | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)Pacers won
- Heat vs. PacersPacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds Over 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.