Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef8797f1ebbf7bfae12602e2f2d1ea2b4fc9ee856f093c11a2c9ae93c6e3517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.98 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 43c | 7,468$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.52 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 6,850$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 4,262$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.69 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 3,411$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.14 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,333$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.82 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…bf98backed Yes | 33c | 1,518$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 33c | 1,496$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 33c | 1,147$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 64c | 1,065$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.7 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 46c | 991.3$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 57c | 910$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 894.97$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 60c | 834.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 24c | 644.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 39c | 633.82$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 556.38$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 534.91$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Yes | 40c | 476.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 47c | 429.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 408.24$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.46 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 395$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 34c | 393.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.63 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 42c | 372$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 32c | 359.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 69c | 352.83$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 350.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 33c | 350$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 299$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 46c | 249.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 26c | 160.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…1989backed Yes | 53c | 150.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 57c | 149.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 142.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 54c | 138.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 124$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 122.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…ac56backed Yes | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 76c | 103.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…008cbacked Yes | 36c | 99.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 40c | 98.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 31c | 93.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 34c | 82.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 82.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…1782backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 40c | 61.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 52c | 59.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8c14backed Yes | 43c | 59.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 69c | 56.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 57c | 53.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…9630backed No | 65c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 38c | 50.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…4fefbacked Yes | 35c | 44.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…38cdbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Yes | 76c | 39.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 41c | 31.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…1849backed Yes | 45c | 30.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4a25backed Yes | 47c | 30.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…fcd6backed Yes | 46c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed Yes | 47c | 30.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 47c | 29.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked Yes | 47c | 29.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Moreirense FC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.