Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf740c49ea6870e4cd84250b72dc2c375a6ce4433e3f27619332361ef8f869835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,652$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,460$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 2,379$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 2,008$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.24 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,244$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.64 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 1,159$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 53c | 754.89$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 570$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 517.77$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 409.68$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 406.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 373.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 20c | 309.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 69c | 267.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 215$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 179.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 22c | 155.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…cb4ebacked Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 147.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Yes | 21c | 134.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 20c | 83.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Yes | 19c | 72.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 59c | 50.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 75c | 47.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 34c | 34.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 33.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 77c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 75c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.