Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5453a678fafcf05a16fd00fc613578c9bab77daa2d486a0a9d6fb64882f161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 39,342$28,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,839.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 46c | 32,754$15,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,012.37 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 17c | 26,930$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 54c | 16,060$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 10,563$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.14 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 6,863$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.93 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 6,388$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.78 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 54c | 6,380$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 55c | 5,461$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 55c | 4,491$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.91 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 54c | 4,400$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Yes | 41c | 4,034$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 3,154$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.3 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 3,057$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.75 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 67c | 2,862$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.27 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 49c | 2,796$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.32 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 2,778$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.38 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 2,753$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 2,687$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.15 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 2,367$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.86 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 54c | 2,180$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 55c | 2,079$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,866$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 46c | 1,482$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.69 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 54c | 1,447$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,413$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 1,294$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 45c | 1,232$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.31 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,231$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 21c | 1,047$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 18c | 964.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 54c | 940.83$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 69c | 813.19$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 46c | 793.48$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 790$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 45c | 738.4$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 45c | 700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 54c | 599.54$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 474.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 6c | 468.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 54c | 443.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 46c | 436.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 24c | 411.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 399.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 399.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 355.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 39c | 352.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 73c | 348.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…b40dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 324.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 55c | 299.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 273$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 55c | 272.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 268.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Yes | 47c | 266.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…16b7backed Yes | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 19c | 224.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked No | 54c | 216.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 11c | 214.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 44c | 213.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 9c | 207.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…a8f5backed Yes | 46c | 202.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…bcdfbacked Yes | 15c | 201.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.