Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2386dc6863a799ba314a0b5bc34722ad33e6848728490f88ab523ece7cf38f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 29c | 12,499$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 10,671$7,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,668.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 5,142$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.87 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 3,889$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.61 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,829$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.58 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,176$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.08 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 990.65$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.86 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 985.06$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.29 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Yes | 75c | 952.98$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 70c | 815$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 52c | 810$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 39c | 705.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 28c | 635.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.49 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 24c | 520.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.32 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 19c | 519.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.76 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 458.77$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 68c | 430$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.68 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 29c | 426.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 390.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 365$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 47c | 342.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 24c | 330.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 57c | 307.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 15c | 284.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 77c | 261.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 248$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…6619backed Yes | 31c | 245.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +253.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 227.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 20c | 202.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 190.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 165$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 160.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 158.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…c630backed No | 71c | 146.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 145.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 31c | 135.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 74c | 123.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 122$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…b4f4backed No | 71c | 121.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…b36abacked No | 71c | 115.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…8b0dbacked No | 35c | 112.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…9d8abacked No | 71c | 111.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…8d2fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 28c | 95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…3b5bbacked No | 70c | 94.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 82.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…9f95backed No | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…3c09backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 68.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…78d0backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…7434backed Yes | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 75c | 52.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…7bbdbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…f6babacked No | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 44.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 76c | 44.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed No | 74c | 42.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 38.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 71c | 37.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 75c | 32.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 31.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…f4b4backed Yes | 76c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…7fafbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 77c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…010cbacked No | 78c | 16.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 76c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.