TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$839,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$840,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c714,778$350,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350,294.0187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under51c300,000$153,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,0002552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c159,882$81,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,480.691,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under51c150,000$76,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,50024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under51c50,059$25,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,529.513248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c39,124$20,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,532.192,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c31,219$15,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,059.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under51c13,000$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,37027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Under51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8806454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under51c11,111$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,444.3924554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under50c9,172$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.9751350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c6,271$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.7165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under50c5,250$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6255050%25 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c5,012$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.882,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c4,381$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c4,358$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over49c4,317$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.3358449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c2,451$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.011,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under50c2,078$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.8413850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98022845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c1,632$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.971,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,613$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.491,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7359557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,324$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.244,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c1,097$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c1,009$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.682,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c795.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7367252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under51c679.84$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c679.59$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.82,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over51c622.14$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.298961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c612.92$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c611.22$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.243043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c490$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c481$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.882,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over41c427.05$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c420.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c400.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+77.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.169659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over50c292.39$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.220353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c278.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.552,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under71c249.47$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.882,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009269.6%64 W · 28 L+12.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c199.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0832952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Under51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.072360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under52c156.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.316658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775c…4ef0backed Over50c153.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c141.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over18c127$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under52c125.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6724454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c113.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.72,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.321,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c103.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.021,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5124946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0414150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.754158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under52c88.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6218051.1%92 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over28c82.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2348740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under67c81.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4911650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over22c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Under78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under50c67.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7514754.4%80 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under47c64.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c60.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.