NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29f0c122f6b13ba074b43c35b51f66b07a12d654538f59236e6f9b950efacba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 47c | 16,638$7,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.21 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 5,369$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.1 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,655$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,994$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 52c | 1,907$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.98 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 948.08$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.28 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 850$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 629.23$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 545.02$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 440.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 48c | 431.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 54c | 252.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 220.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 80c | 147.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…82b0backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 119.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…d509backed Over | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 96.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 53c | 94.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6db…3eb3backed Under | 53c | 77.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 53c | 64.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 59.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 71c | 46.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 28c | 41.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…8da8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5this page
- Rockets vs. KingsKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.