NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4a433e0c606d52c4b48501de4cac766a3dd484fffdf788f97bbaa563f79bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Rockets | 53c | 165,029$87,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,448.39 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 48c | 24,305$11,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,739.02 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Rockets | 52c | 15,575$8,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.09 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 48c | 13,592$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 49c | 12,675$6,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 48c | 11,317$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Rockets | 46c | 8,583$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.2 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 49c | 6,078$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.37 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 53c | 5,077$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.55 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,706$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Kings | 54c | 3,570$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.2 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 53c | 3,430$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.9 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,644$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.51 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 47c | 2,286$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.58 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 51c | 2,214$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.24 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Rockets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 47c | 1,828$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.25 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,431$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kings | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 44c | 1,097$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Kings | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Kings | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Rockets | 46c | 642.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.52 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Kings | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 50c | 499.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Rockets | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Kings | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Kings | 50c | 371.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Rockets | 52c | 289$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 46c | 169.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Kings | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Kings | 49c | 143.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Kings | 48c | 119.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 47c | 115.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Kings | 48c | 103.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Kings | 48c | 94.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Kings | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Kings | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Kings | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Kings | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 52c | 76.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Rockets | 53c | 68.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Kings | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 41c | 67.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Kings | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Kings | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Kings | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Kings | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Kings | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Rockets | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Kings | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kings | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…6b81backed Kings | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Kings | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Kings | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kings | 46c | 39.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Rockets | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Kings | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Kings | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Kings | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Kings | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 52c | 31.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rockets | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Kings | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Rockets | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Kings | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Kings | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Rockets | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets | 46c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…6e99backed Kings | 49c | 25.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Kings | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Kings | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Kings | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Kings | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Kings | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Kings | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)this page
- Rockets vs. KingsKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 221.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.