TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Rockets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings52c14,108$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,787.541,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets50c11,208$5,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Rockets52c10,357$5,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,385.7610252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Kings48c9,825$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10924053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets53c8,610$4,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.342,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings47c6,836$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.923,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets52c4,841$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Rockets51c3,931$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.2610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets52c3,909$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.32,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Rockets55c2,431$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.111,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings47c2,263$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.5289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Rockets56c2,259$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Rockets50c1,797$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.682142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Rockets56c1,789$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets51c1,569$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets52c1,422$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.882,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets49c1,388$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.072,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets52c1,230$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets56c1,198$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Kings46c893$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2234654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings49c766.28$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Kings67c597.62$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kings46c581.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Kings44c465$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.48739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Kings45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets55c444.44$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Kings46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.789659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets50c424.09$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.051,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings45c367$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.851,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings72c355.36$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets54c320$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.862,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Rockets52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Rockets56c288$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2864139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Rockets54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Rockets49c239.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2223250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Kings46c232.78$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.716436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…00bcbacked Kings47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.841040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Rockets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings47c200.65$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Rockets40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kings49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9862539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Kings47c195.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7422945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Rockets29c191.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Rockets55c179$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Kings46c175$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rockets52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Rockets22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Rockets26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Kings45c112.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.820353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a2…0a6abacked Kings45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44bd…8b0ebacked Rockets56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300e…dfb3backed Rockets50c106.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Kings49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0452242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Rockets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Rockets40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Kings60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockets48c94.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.542,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Kings64c75.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.238744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Rockets16c74.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8930616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets54c74.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Kings44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.213338.3%51 W · 82 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Kings49c69.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Kings46c63.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0428251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.761,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Kings74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Kings48c58.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3617233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Kings46c52.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings47c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.024,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Rockets31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Kings45c42.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5739756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kings46c40.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x909b…6a0dbacked Kings46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…c558backed Kings51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Kings48c38.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0216036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Rockets52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.766540%26 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Rockets55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Rockets56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets56c31.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.772,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Rockets51c25.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.