TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Rockets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,432,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,438,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Rockets48c768,399$372,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,477.387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Rockets50c601,234$298,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298,634.0810049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings50c500,000$252,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247,50026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings51c271,067$138,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,822.591,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings51c200,000$102,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings52c166,310$86,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,874.811,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kings52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings51c38,451$19,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,916.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings52c32,395$16,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,659.923,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Kings51c23,233$11,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.252653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings52c12,445$6,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.9357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings51c11,754$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,715.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets48c10,928$5,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,245.461,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings52c3,937$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kings53c3,805$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.6740041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Kings51c3,707$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.439557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings52c3,082$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.252,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kings51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings51c2,713$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings53c2,247$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.0958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets26c2,066$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets47c1,355$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.272,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Kings53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Kings52c762.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.122360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Kings53c743.5$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8119147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92d…bffcbacked Kings55c694.53$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets45c568.74$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Rockets50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed Kings53c477.62$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.481546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf424…8626backed Kings52c382.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Kings53c337.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.418961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Kings52c279.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2916658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Kings50c276$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Kings51c256$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Kings53c225.09$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7936751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Kings53c207.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9121753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Kings52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kings51c189.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.551,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Kings53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings52c177.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.163,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Kings53c174.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.085156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…e30fbacked Kings53c155.96$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Kings52c139.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.474250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Kings53c115.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0124454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Kings53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.216144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Kings53c103.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9617155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed Kings51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Kings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Kings52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Kings52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1517545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1c3…be5abacked Kings52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Kings54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Kings53c86.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8118051.1%92 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Rockets45c82.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Kings55c82.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377930.4%24 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Kings52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Kings53c74.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.333050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Kings56c73.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2119951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Rockets50c64.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2836143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Kings53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.610060%60 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Kings53c50.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Rockets48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Kings52c48.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.145460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Kings53c47.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5312040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Kings53c46.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7517949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Kings53c41.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.625457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecd6…5284backed Rockets48c41.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.082433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Kings51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Kings53c37.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.812062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Rockets45c37.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.886235.5%22 W · 40 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Rockets49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1865950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Kings52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets48c31.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.092,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Rockets48c30.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855230.8%16 W · 36 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x89ae…ae58backed Rockets50c30.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Kings53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Kings75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6717753.1%94 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cd…02ffbacked Kings50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Kings51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814236.6%52 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Kings60c16.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.756121.3%13 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.