NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d5562c47555333ac2c72dd25e87b700a7c4dda965dabd8b926ba6d4e94b60c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $936,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $942,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 419,413$209,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,683.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 50c | 250,000$125,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 189,553$94,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,776.33 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Over | 49c | 171,598$84,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,083.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 51c | 61,500$31,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,134.99 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…569dbacked Over | 50c | 52,800$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 38,545$19,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,157.73 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…6cf0backed Over | 49c | 24,255$11,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,884.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Under | 51c | 19,576$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,592.35 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 15,439$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.37 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 12,222$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.78 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Under | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.37 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 10,143$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.8 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Under | 53c | 9,427$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 9,200$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.19 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 7,910$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 52c | 6,949$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Over | 48c | 6,875$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.79 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 51c | 5,252$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 4,566$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.34 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 4,317$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Under | 53c | 3,290$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 51c | 2,596$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 51c | 2,288$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.93 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,196$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.18 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 49c | 2,143$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 2,003$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.32 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…1a9dbacked Over | 49c | 1,568$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,196$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 49c | 990.22$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 51c | 800$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Under | 51c | 725.88$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 53c | 656.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…58dabacked Under | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 50c | 633.12$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 51c | 572.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 555.21$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 551.22$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 48c | 540$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 525$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 12c | 520.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7e22backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 27c | 484.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 51c | 460.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 50c | 398$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 49c | 397.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…469fbacked Under | 53c | 380$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…60aebacked Over | 49c | 350.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Under | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 339.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Under | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…ee68backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 51c | 263.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 255.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. SteelersTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.