TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Texans (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texansof Texans, Steelers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Steelers44c39,315$17,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,298.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaba0…52cabacked Texans56c25,914$14,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,402.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Texans56c17,665$9,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,772.592661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Texans56c12,111$6,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,328.9920755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Steelers45c11,791$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,310.3612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d14…0d53backed Steelers44c4,163$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Texans56c3,503$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.9877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f38…3a6bbacked Steelers43c3,230$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf600…da8abacked Texans57c3,230$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…b790backed Steelers43c3,160$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…c2b9backed Texans57c3,160$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Texans56c2,666$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.041181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Texans56c2,544$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Steelers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10026649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Texans55c2,205$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Texans52c2,181$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.086050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Steelers43c2,168$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.1165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texans56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Texans55c1,900$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.981968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Texans56c1,875$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82513756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Texans56c1,787$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.272941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Texans57c1,720$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.746544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers47c1,630$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Texans56c1,408$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Texans56c1,408$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.5214151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Texans56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Texans53c1,076$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.874261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Texans48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.762040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Steelers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Steelers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Texans57c999.98$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.994341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Texans58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.077661.8%47 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2b…c304backed Texans56c857.14$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Texans56c732.73$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Steelers45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…92d9backed Steelers44c654$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Texans56c632.04$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8b…b6f1backed Texans56c571.43$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.431361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Steelers45c560.84$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.383650%18 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Steelers45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa53f…5e26backed Steelers44c544$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740f…1935backed Steelers44c502$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d4…7282backed Steelers44c448$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Texans56c444$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.368454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Texans57c421.43$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.432161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1243…0d89backed Steelers44c411$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…c216backed Steelers44c407$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Texans56c405.41$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Texans56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17626857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Texans56c392.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.864047.5%19 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+59.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers43c387.57$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90c…acf0backed Steelers44c377$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Texans57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceba…6b9bbacked Steelers44c341$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9262…39dbbacked Steelers44c341$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texans60c315.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2915952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Steelers49c313.51$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Texans56c303.27$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.443658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2430…6e1ebacked Steelers44c296$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…1c65backed Steelers44c294$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776d…3271backed Steelers44c294$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb28…b57bbacked Steelers44c285$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Texans56c269.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fd…cad0backed Steelers45c268.04$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0539backed Steelers44c265$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad6…4fb7backed Steelers44c242$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c58…94d4backed Steelers44c235$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e7…71a5backed Steelers44c234$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…1993backed Steelers44c233$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ca…e5fcbacked Steelers44c231$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Steelers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb866…d76fbacked Steelers44c226$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Texans57c225.79$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.091464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c6…62b0backed Steelers44c221$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ed…44a5backed Steelers44c219$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ea…47e9backed Steelers44c214$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b1…283cbacked Steelers44c214$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Steelers43c210.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.598839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…81bbbacked Steelers44c208$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…7d36backed Steelers44c206$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3c…8e6ebacked Steelers44c202$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Steelers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7f…a8b8backed Steelers44c199$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b6…e11bbacked Steelers44c193$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0696…bfb7backed Steelers44c186$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Texans56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.27338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Texans56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0770…0782backed Steelers44c178$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…8f4ebacked Steelers44c176$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381c…98eabacked Steelers44c174$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bb…950abacked Steelers44c171$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd5…e978backed Steelers44c167$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Steelers45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755052%26 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5798…dc79backed Steelers44c166$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec89…7e5cbacked Steelers44c164$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8855…a4d0backed Steelers44c163$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc7…97f7backed Steelers44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…3395backed Steelers44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b8…4c6ebacked Steelers44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f7…a9e8backed Steelers44c157$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.