NFL · resolved market
Spread: Texans (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a01ef097179cb20680d004a396762dbb122f12a11b2f00d187765abe01321a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Steelers | 67c | 60,475$40,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,344.01 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Steelers | 64c | 53,584$34,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,293.62 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 36c | 49,032$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,532.07 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 36c | 33,233$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,392.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texans | 33c | 29,680$9,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,885.6 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Steelers | 65c | 28,940$18,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,724.74 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texans | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.94 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Steelers | 69c | 8,660$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texans | 32c | 8,139$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Texans | 33c | 6,776$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.17 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Steelers | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Steelers | 63c | 5,892$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Steelers | 41c | 5,375$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Texans | 35c | 5,257$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.36 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Steelers | 68c | 4,242$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.89 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Texans | 51c | 4,178$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.57 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Texans | 36c | 4,060$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Texans | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texans | 34c | 3,198$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.06 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Steelers | 65c | 2,926$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.75 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Texans | 33c | 2,619$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Steelers | 62c | 2,371$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Texans | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Texans | 34c | 2,148$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.37 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texans | 35c | 1,992$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Steelers | 65c | 1,877$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.01 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texans | 32c | 1,320$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.33 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texans | 71c | 1,126$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.16 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Steelers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texans | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Texans | 36c | 690$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 66c | 645$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.66 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Texans | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Texans | 32c | 529.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.78 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Texans | 53c | 514.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.02 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Texans | 32c | 509.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Texans | 39c | 508$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Texans | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Steelers | 62c | 483.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Texans | 34c | 465.52$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Steelers | 65c | 462.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Steelers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…469fbacked Steelers | 66c | 444.77$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers | 72c | 424.37$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…aa17backed Steelers | 65c | 423.39$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Steelers | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Texans | 37c | 373.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Steelers | 60c | 347.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Steelers | 65c | 313.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Texans | 33c | 293.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…7ababacked Texans | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…cbc2backed Texans | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Texans | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Steelers | 71c | 260$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Steelers | 63c | 203.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Texans | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Texans | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Texans | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Steelers | 64c | 195$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Texans | 37c | 188.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…b6f1backed Texans | 36c | 181.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Steelers | 66c | 178.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Texans | 44c | 173.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…8a64backed Texans | 37c | 171.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Texans | 30c | 169.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Steelers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Texans | 33c | 153.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…c64cbacked Steelers | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texans | 32c | 147$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Steelers | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Texans | 37c | 136.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Steelers | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Steelers | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Texans | 31c | 118.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Texans | 36c | 114.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Texans | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Texans | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Steelers | 64c | 108.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Steelers | 52c | 108.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Steelers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Steelers | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Texans | 46c | 99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 31c | 94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…9972backed Steelers | 64c | 93.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Texans | 40c | 86.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d718backed Steelers | 61c | 77.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…131abacked Steelers | 66c | 76.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Steelers | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Texans | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0025…6ca8backed Texans | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Texans | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…dbb3backed Texans | 39c | 66.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texans | 30c | 64.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Steelers | 65c | 61.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Steelers | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Texans | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Texans | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Texans | 37c | 54.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Texans | 33c | 54.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…4f73backed Steelers | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. SteelersTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.