NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8543a309c77c726ce41400b7c76cd605cce7910facfda2653eee86ba062383
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 6c | 50,296$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.78 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 12c | 10,315$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.32 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 5,768$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.83 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 5,488$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.7 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Over | 6c | 4,918$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 3,570$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.5 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 55c | 3,438$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.66 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Under | 45c | 3,136$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Under | 46c | 2,197$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 44c | 2,000$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.75 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Under | 44c | 1,567$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 1,416$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.21 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Under | 45c | 1,257$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Over | 28c | 1,200$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 1,182$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.56 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,041$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 26c | 1,015$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Over | 57c | 983.26$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 76c | 825.95$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 39c | 820.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 57c | 787.19$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Under | 6c | 600$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 71c | 580.08$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 551.83$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Under | 6c | 486$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Under | 45c | 470.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 419.43$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 7c | 350$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.94 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 321.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 6c | 320.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…7c0ebacked Under | 46c | 315.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 208.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…438fbacked Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 57c | 198$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1f…c5ebbacked Under | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5f12backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Under | 45c | 157.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…c4e7backed Over | 18c | 153.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…9970backed Over | 12c | 146.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 57c | 145.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 56c | 143.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 143.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Over | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…119dbacked Over | 15c | 130.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 51c | 124.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ed…0bb4backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…11d4backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…fd60backed Over | 52c | 110.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 109.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 109.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…bd64backed Over | 57c | 108.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Over | 57c | 105.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…d746backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…f098backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…cfcdbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…6aa8backed Over | 57c | 86.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 43c | 80.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 40c | 79.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -90%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 71.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 70.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…b6f1backed Over | 58c | 69.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…5487backed Under | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 57.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…7c7ebacked Over | 57c | 52.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…dad6backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…a645backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…b323backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Over | 46c | 32.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 57c | 30.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…c2edbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 41c | 26.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…6526backed Over | 58c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 49c | 25.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Texans (-1.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Texans (-6.5)Texans won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. SteelersTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.