TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over53c205,995$109,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,177.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under47c199,996$93,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,997.792839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over51c64,259$32,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,468.162450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c12,134$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,113.6720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c11,708$5,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,021.661,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c11,514$5,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c8,005$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.5538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over50c6,157$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under50c5,873$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Under50c4,400$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c2,741$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.0722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c1,683$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.5196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c800$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39612049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under50c620$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3131050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20418459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c380$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15313152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over51c270.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over52c248.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over52c215$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.815847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.828458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6905…e3c2backed Over51c166.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over49c154.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.754271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.311448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over45c120.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.931625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.210952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.215459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over47c117$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over46c107.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c100.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c99.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.818948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under47c94.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.87353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.712454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under51c67.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Over51c61.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.613650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.28444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Over50c57.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Over49c48.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.682944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under50c41.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.512875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67e6…963cbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f82…0ffebacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…1d59backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over50c33.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8720841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.914452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.