Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64bcab5515a97c54ff0221392d579fcaf547dd6f89199d2d6cbb358041962d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 53c | 205,995$109,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,177.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 199,996$93,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,997.79 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 64,259$32,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,468.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 12,134$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.67 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 11,708$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.66 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 11,514$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,545.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 8,005$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.55 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Over | 50c | 6,157$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 50c | 5,873$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Under | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,741$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.07 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 1,683$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 620$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 51c | 270.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 52c | 248.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 52c | 215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…e3c2backed Over | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 49c | 154.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 45c | 120.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 46c | 107.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 100.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 99.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 51c | 67.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Over | 51c | 61.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…536ebacked Over | 50c | 57.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Over | 49c | 48.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 50c | 41.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…963cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 33.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)US Cremonese won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.