TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$581,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No67c152,041$101,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,791.095352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes33c100,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No64c71,331$45,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,476.1821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes36c46,709$16,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,893.794841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c38,238$13,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,502.471,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c34,817$21,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,416.786,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c27,937$10,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,924.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes33c20,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,40035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…acb5backed Yes35c17,264$6,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,221.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe04c…83b0backed No65c17,244$11,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,208.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c14,248$6,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,577.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Yes60c14,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c13,080$8,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,416.952,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c11,864$7,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,921.632,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed No65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes35c9,750$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,340.692450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes22c8,910$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,985.642254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes37c8,216$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.222748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9bc3backed Yes31c7,886$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6135…9b85backed Yes37c6,258$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,942.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.5614544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026b…bb31backed Yes28c5,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.93825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Yes35c4,336$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.33135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Yes33c4,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Yes36c3,889$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes35c3,359$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.112638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2504746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.996240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9118362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes34c2,940$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.21650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed No64c2,754$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c2,277$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.71,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes63c2,272$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.572948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8499…83a8backed No66c2,000$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Yes30c1,739$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb994…bf12backed Yes35c1,610$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes34c1,572$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.610426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No76c1,544$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.6510768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes22c1,523$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.841040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+99.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9905352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c1,445$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.661,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes34c1,443$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.3810051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes61c1,431$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.21163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c1,423$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.151,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No65c1,372$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.898853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes34c1,300$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.944050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcda…d764backed Yes15c1,291$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes23c1,224$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No65c1,200$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes36c1,192$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.673644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Yes35c1,163$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes26c1,156$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.191,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes41c1,132$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9716238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e4…647ebacked No1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Yes34c1,038$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.998740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No64c999.98$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No70c998.97$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.3422458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes33c921.12$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17b…b6d5backed Yes36c900$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4d…575dbacked Yes31c900$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6116…1cc2backed No65c900$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.141963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes60c848.59$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.7142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c821.39$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.591,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes27c819.12$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.1211234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No6c818$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.346735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes37c816.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.3911346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.812339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No40c786.39$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.564560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes35c785.4$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.515048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes11c751$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+86.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Yes36c743$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.521376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb5a…6261backed No65c736.77$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes36c702.38$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.3815257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Yes34c621.96$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.491442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes36c610.38$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.941957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4447731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes33c599.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.9525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5611534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No55c522.7$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2624844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed Yes35c491.34$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes32c481.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8611044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes35c474.29$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.299344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes23c449.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.5911727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.183231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No66c433.68$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28633753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f9…e502backed Yes36c418.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.08944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+86.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes27c411.11$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.111540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes34c406.48$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26823920.9%50 W · 189 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3853…532bbacked No73c395.55$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7550%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No66c374.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.873141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No67c373.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.