Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb5d6e11040db407b0c2e6c205ceecf49d2fb9173b016e96ab1b68d4b16cfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 40,350$19,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,368 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 78c | 2,232$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.08 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,099$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 487.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 327.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 46c | 298.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 238.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 55c | 215.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 46c | 155.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 25c | 71.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 70.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…e7dabacked Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 27c | 49.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 45c | 41.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 70c | 34.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84a…fb00backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 76c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.