TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Packers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Packers, Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Packers49c32,653$15,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,886.0312744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers48c23,164$11,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,033.5914252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Eagles51c17,422$8,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,487.4361148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Eagles53c16,233$8,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,555.5711145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Eagles51c7,051$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.1225956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles52c6,669$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.041,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Eagles54c6,200$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,87322349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Eagles49c4,698$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.7941947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Packers48c4,227$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.8328447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Eagles53c4,100$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9273268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Packers47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Eagles52c2,817$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.183447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Packers46c2,802$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.465850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Packers47c2,344$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.613450%67 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Eagles52c2,310$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.819553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Eagles52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.0465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Eagles52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles58c1,951$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.8456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Eagles53c1,416$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.465764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Packers48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2814035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Eagles52c1,105$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2741248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…dd8fbacked Packers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eaf…f323backed Eagles52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eagles52c949.33$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6854451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Eagles53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Eagles54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.935139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Packers48c835$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.816346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles52c799.59$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6941…efd5backed Eagles52c778.11$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1113253%70 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…f577backed Eagles54c722.22$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…ca4ebacked Packers48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f9…0c6abacked Eagles52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e99…dea0backed Eagles52c588$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9946…a04ebacked Packers48c588$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Packers46c558.85$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0751352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Eagles54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Eagles53c390$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f14…2cbdbacked Eagles53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…0643backed Packers48c376$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Eagles54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…ed90backed Eagles53c350$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.53737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Packers48c230.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f32…0af7backed Eagles52c220$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f6…6156backed Packers48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Packers47c219.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.392227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Packers48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.855345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Packers47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9331540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6bfbbacked Packers47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Packers47c196$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1236341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers47c147.34$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.251,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf326…52f9backed Eagles53c139.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Eagles46c118$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9960049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Eagles53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2111744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5680…9305backed Packers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…94ebbacked Eagles54c104.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.923073.3%22 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7eb7…8d07backed Packers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Eagles53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54161%25 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Packers59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5924243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Packers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d8a…a412backed Packers49c97.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e3…6548backed Eagles54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.597852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1da…d3c7backed Eagles54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Eagles55c89.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.467741.6%32 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Packers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…9b0abacked Packers35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7756…6dbebacked Packers38c72.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c99…2c2abacked Eagles52c72.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Packers49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.442860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Packers48c53.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdd5…581abacked Eagles54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Packers49c47.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9931350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Packers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aea…00debacked Packers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd75e…bc00backed Eagles54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde01…173abacked Eagles54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…11cdbacked Eagles56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c3…f46ebacked Eagles54c33.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Eagles55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed Packers36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Eagles50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113348.5%16 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Eagles53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a67…c830backed Eagles52c19.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.362365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.