NFL · resolved market
Packers Team Total: O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc520419c3570e7c6db71c6e23781b2aaafb8806f6a77b324b0dedca2c36e78e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 54c | 2,499$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.71 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Over | 46c | 838$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Under | 54c | 560.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 45c | 470.37$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.67 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Over | 46c | 358.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…bb3fbacked Under | 39c | 255.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 226.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Under | 43c | 205.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 45c | 202.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…e23ebacked Under | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +452.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…d6e4backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Over | 45c | 86.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…5f7dbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Under | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Under | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Under | 55c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers Team Total: O/U 23.5this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-0.5)Eagles won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)Eagles won
- Eagles vs. PackersEagles won
- Eagles vs. Packers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Packers: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.