NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd63d1061567d73cd063f071d1776507ed5cfbb20fb66b82e0dca851ece9ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 42,469$19,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,933.48 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 50c | 23,724$11,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,862 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 54c | 21,091$11,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,323.79 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 20,596$10,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 19,470$10,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,251.09 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 9,343$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.68 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 49c | 5,929$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.85 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 51c | 4,619$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.62 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 49c | 3,500$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.04 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 52c | 2,259$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.22 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 46c | 904.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.43 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 46c | 877.5$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.47 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Over | 55c | 868.75$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 599.02$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Under | 50c | 500.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…34d8backed Over | 52c | 496.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9482backed Over | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc761…de5bbacked Over | 54c | 444.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 47c | 443.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 242$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…30e6backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Over | 52c | 101.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…cc29backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 54c | 92.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 52c | 91.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 53c | 85.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…21f6backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…46d3backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…6e01backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…516ebacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 49c | 45.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…3ef9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Over | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Over | 54c | 22.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…4806backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-0.5)Eagles won
- 1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)Eagles won
- Eagles vs. PackersEagles won
- Eagles vs. Packers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Packers: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Packers Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.