NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c10d6cfc072d579758d564a9843f1c5091539ac95597942cd7e782e7f0c25a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Senators, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,731,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,255,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,731,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Kings | 58c | 492,740$284,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,341.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Senators | 41c | 255,151$105,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Senators | 41c | 148,554$61,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,251.56 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Senators | 41c | 130,663$53,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,127.56 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 44c | 96,274$42,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,360.46 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Kings | 59c | 78,478$46,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,176.12 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 58c | 72,186$41,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,432.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 44c | 46,431$20,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,503.04 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators | 42c | 39,982$16,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,792.29 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 59c | 31,447$18,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,893.32 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Kings | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Senators | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 58c | 23,621$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,920.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 58c | 16,348$9,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.98 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Senators | 42c | 12,955$5,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.3 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Senators | 42c | 12,139$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.43 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 58c | 10,480$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Kings | 75c | 10,030$7,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Senators | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 59c | 9,000$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Senators | 46c | 8,777$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kings | 56c | 8,261$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.84 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 60c | 7,010$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 42c | 6,097$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 59c | 5,605$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Senators | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 59c | 4,552$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.36 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 58c | 4,428$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 58c | 4,114$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.48 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 43c | 3,837$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.52 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kings | 62c | 3,706$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.76 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 44c | 3,425$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Senators | 44c | 2,755$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.98 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Kings | 60c | 2,715$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.1 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 40c | 2,700$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.95 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Senators | 43c | 2,626$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 62c | 2,496$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.61 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Senators | 42c | 2,491$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.38 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 57c | 2,305$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.11 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Senators | 42c | 2,256$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.69 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Senators | 42c | 2,253$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.34 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Senators | 43c | 2,150$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…d563backed Kings | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Senators | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…1371backed Senators | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 57c | 1,891$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.06 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 39c | 1,811$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.41 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Senators | 42c | 1,753$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.89 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Kings | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 58c | 1,649$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Senators | 44c | 1,614$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Senators | 44c | 1,515$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Senators | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Senators | 33c | 1,432$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.09 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Senators | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 40c | 1,360$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Senators | 44c | 1,350$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 60c | 1,179$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Kings | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 57c | 1,052$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.35 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…cabbbacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Senators | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Kings | 57c | 999.99$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Senators | 44c | 979.46$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Senators | 44c | 957.56$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.42 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 64c | 950$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Senators | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Senators | 42c | 928.57$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 58c | 905$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Senators | 41c | 890.78$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.22 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Senators | 43c | 860.47$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Kings | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 57c | 838.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Kings | 58c | 809.66$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Kings | 62c | 807.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 63c | 796.95$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…eecdbacked Senators | 42c | 790$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…2268backed Kings | 59c | 775$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 41c | 755.67$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…77bbbacked Kings | 59c | 735$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…714dbacked Senators | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 57c | 670.86$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Senators | 22c | 664.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Kings | 58c | 651.82$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 59c | 648$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 36c | 604.76$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Senators | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Kings | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…d486backed Senators | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Kingsthis page
- Senators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.