TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Zverev, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$554,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8628…6f0bbacked Shelton40c181,648$72,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,147.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Zverev60c58,633$35,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,348.7910845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Zverev62c39,500$24,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,009.984557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Zverev60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00027063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Zverev61c29,097$17,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,347.715950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Shelton27c22,582$6,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,025.4816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Zverev60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0004843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Shelton38c13,025$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.413452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Shelton40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9922629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zverev77c11,337$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Zverev60c10,317$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.3411343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Zverev65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1993…0c02backed Zverev61c9,836$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Shelton38c9,800$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.997047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Shelton33c9,029$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.881421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zverev63c8,733$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.3728952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Shelton36c7,980$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.854930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df0…8f4ebacked Shelton1c7,473$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.732339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Shelton28c5,346$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5052733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Shelton2c5,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Zverev61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.031,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Zverev61c4,892$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.9264755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shelton38c4,887$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.9976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zverev72c4,834$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Zverev64c4,723$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Shelton37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Zverev64c3,966$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.139264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Shelton15c3,870$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.385630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Shelton37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.9619835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Shelton37c3,439$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.3513934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe036…44e6backed Zverev64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Shelton37c2,900$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0736254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Zverev63c2,882$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Shelton40c2,340$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93625722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Shelton38c2,159$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.4213935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Shelton14c2,149$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.375030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Shelton40c2,100$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Zverev60c2,100$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Zverev78c2,048$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.345151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Zverev63c2,011$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.0319131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Shelton38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Zverev62c1,944$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.872157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Zverev60c1,784$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.61,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Zverev61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Zverev61c1,632$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.0224852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Shelton40c1,625$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Zverev63c1,600$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6009134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zverev66c1,520$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.66,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Shelton35c1,423$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Shelton41c1,297$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.0155143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Shelton40c1,058$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42316825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Zverev61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Shelton35c995$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Zverev62c944.44$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.291,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Zverev64c932.69$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.691560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Shelton19c907.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Shelton36c849.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Shelton38c791$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Shelton5c784.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.741942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Shelton42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Shelton38c657.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.035632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Zverev61c642.62$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.629961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Zverev63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.922123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Zverev59c620.82$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.187335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Shelton17c607$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Zverev64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Zverev60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…7b63backed Shelton40c600$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Shelton14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Shelton38c549.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Zverev63c528.84$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Shelton40c519.67$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1739534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Zverev69c500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15770465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Shelton38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Shelton37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Zverev64c498.44$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4459165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Zverev61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Zverev76c486.49$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Shelton37c464$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.683941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zverev60c419.38$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.751,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Zverev62c416.37$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.377459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Zverev60c401.64$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.647057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Zverev65c376.77$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6516459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x621c…1192backed Zverev64c371.88$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd14c…c9f0backed Shelton17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed Shelton37c350$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Zverev63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2146556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Shelton16c346.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.984358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Zverev63c333.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Zverev60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.338269.5%57 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa92…0d27backed Shelton20c325.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Zverev62c322.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6832448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5739…e4dcbacked Zverev63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Zverev63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Zverev64c313.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.593551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Zverev64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Zverev62c304.84$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.843369.7%23 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…f5b5backed Zverev63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x434f…e038backed Zverev61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Shelton32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.