Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9255d3222c0d171fb493eebf0369bbc30a1351a063811aaab946829ec177f288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 50,000$29,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,350 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 8,747$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 8,307$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.61 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,491$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 43c | 1,028$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.27 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 885.88$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.81 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 813.64$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.64 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 44c | 790.91$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 756.9$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 74c | 677.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 41c | 488.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 488.65$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 43c | 459.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 41c | 302.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 11c | 130.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed No | 43c | 112.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 30c | 103.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 43c | 99.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 41c | 95.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 43c | 94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 84.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 57.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed No | 42c | 50.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 43c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked No | 42c | 40.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…932abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…bd87backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…c54bbacked Yes | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.