TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c0b…ae91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.47
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.53
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.12
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$34.21
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$16.62
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.17
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.01
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.51
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65.96
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.23
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.21
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$19.12
Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$31.83
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Louisiana Techbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
SUNY-Delhi Broncos vs. Albany Great Danesbacked SUNY-Delhi Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$50.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kuwait win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.