NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af0e42f2e4ba9dc89718b5934da285e8f3c3c632e5fdd9e86399a1aab2a4faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,753,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,926,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,753,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 19c | 390,000$75,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,499.92 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 17c | 300,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Bucks | 20c | 250,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks | 19c | 200,880$38,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,167.15 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 80c | 170,000$136,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 80c | 123,903$99,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,780.52 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 15c | 115,000$17,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,521 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 23c | 78,139$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.94 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 2c | 40,988$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 79c | 37,298$29,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,967.09 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 80c | 35,794$28,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 1c | 29,391$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Bucks | 19c | 29,263$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.01 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 0c | 26,335$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 77c | 24,859$19,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.1 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 80c | 24,663$19,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.95 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 79c | 21,380$16,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.79 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 18c | 20,400$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.97 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 80c | 19,359$15,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bucks | 6c | 19,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bucks | 17c | 18,415$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.61 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks | 19c | 16,842$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Bucks | 12c | 16,593$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.91 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bucks | 23c | 15,377$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.64 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 79c | 12,796$10,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.2 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 79c | 12,413$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.06 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Bucks | 2c | 12,321$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 77c | 11,565$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 3c | 10,636$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.63 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bucks | 23c | 10,517$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.79 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Bucks | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Bucks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Bucks | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Bucks | 1c | 9,977$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Thunder | 80c | 9,176$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.1 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6141…ded2backed Thunder | 77c | 9,012$6,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 3c | 8,256$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bucks | 21c | 8,154$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.93 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks | 22c | 8,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Bucks | 19c | 7,579$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Bucks | 23c | 7,200$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.99 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Thunder | 80c | 7,000$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.81 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Thunder | 76c | 6,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 5c | 6,085$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks | 21c | 5,714$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…bef7backed Bucks | 19c | 5,695$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.61 | 146 | 26.7%39 W · 107 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Bucks | 18c | 5,559$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.54 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 5,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bucks | 20c | 5,200$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.97 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 23c | 5,050$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 80c | 4,764$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.89 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 77c | 4,663$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.55 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 77c | 4,601$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.23 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bucks | 21c | 4,523$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.39 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bucks | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.9 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bucks | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks | 17c | 4,265$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.07 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Thunder | 77c | 4,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 79c | 3,843$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.76 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 3c | 3,821$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Bucks | 18c | 3,710$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Bucks | 20c | 3,668$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Thunder | 77c | 3,545$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.45 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Bucks | 23c | 3,321$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Bucks | 19c | 3,269$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder | 76c | 3,268$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.3 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Bucks | 8c | 3,230$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks | 19c | 3,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 1c | 3,057$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Bucks | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Thunder | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Thunder | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…9417backed Thunder | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Bucks | 19c | 2,946$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Bucks | 10c | 2,886$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…c792backed Bucks | 24c | 2,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…1034backed Thunder | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Bucks | 7c | 2,587$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bucks | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…c371backed Bucks | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…146abacked Bucks | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d3…46adbacked Bucks | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Bucks | 18c | 2,424$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.19 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 21c | 2,361$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…15c5backed Bucks | 5c | 2,207$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…5fd8backed Thunder | 77c | 2,150$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…31a2backed Thunder | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…05b5backed Bucks | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Thunder | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bucks | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Bucks | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 11c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Bucks | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Bucks | 24c | 1,936$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.24 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bucksthis page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.