NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53acdb96ab64908af7d3b8b0bea6eb7ba4889e3fe55ba3b591924971645547b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 45c | 25,658$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 51c | 20,295$10,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250.69 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 53c | 14,982$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 55c | 14,802$8,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,602.96 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 50c | 14,614$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 59c | 14,329$8,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.09 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 45c | 8,303$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Bucks | 51c | 6,767$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.16 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Bucks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.99 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 56c | 4,755$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.23 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bucks | 41c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 53c | 3,908$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.22 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…e7b1backed Bucks | 50c | 3,279$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Bucks | 44c | 2,907$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…5b28backed Thunder | 50c | 2,780$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…fdc5backed Thunder | 50c | 2,719$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…2672backed Bucks | 50c | 2,710$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…13f6backed Bucks | 50c | 2,388$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…c9e1backed Thunder | 50c | 2,195$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…6f50backed Thunder | 50c | 2,147$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Thunder | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.93 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 57c | 1,815$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…a356backed Bucks | 50c | 1,419$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Bucks | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bucks | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 51c | 1,002$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.64 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…558dbacked Bucks | 44c | 980$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Thunder | 56c | 954$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.09 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 59c | 906$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Thunder | 80c | 708.52$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Thunder | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Bucks | 49c | 692.84$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.54 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bucks | 14c | 677.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 51c | 652.94$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Bucks | 45c | 621.94$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.39 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 53c | 586.76$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…7f07backed Thunder | 50c | 581.68$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 39c | 547.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bucks | 50c | 505.56$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Thunder | 59c | 505.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 56c | 505.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…ebb7backed Thunder | 50c | 426.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 17c | 415.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…b89ebacked Bucks | 50c | 413.46$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 41c | 409$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…00d0backed Thunder | 50c | 404.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342a…980cbacked Thunder | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…b925backed Bucks | 50c | 393.62$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bucks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Thunder | 50c | 350.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…27acbacked Bucks | 50c | 343.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…7514backed Thunder | 50c | 338.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…39c9backed Bucks | 50c | 322.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Bucks | 48c | 319.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bucks | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 51c | 310.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…e0fcbacked Thunder | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Thunder | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Bucks | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 56c | 276.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…8834backed Thunder | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Bucks | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Bucks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Thunder | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…33bebacked Bucks | 51c | 234.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Bucks | 51c | 228.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Thunder | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Bucks | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Bucks | 46c | 216.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Thunder | 58c | 201.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Thunder | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…bee1backed Bucks | 50c | 186.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…5a77backed Thunder | 50c | 183.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bucks | 47c | 174.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…4cdebacked Thunder | 50c | 174.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Bucks | 48c | 173.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f50…c6e1backed Bucks | 50c | 171.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Thunder | 59c | 154.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…86dabacked Thunder | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 58c | 132.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Bucks | 42c | 132.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Thunder | 61c | 127$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…d57dbacked Bucks | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Thunder | 51c | 117.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…6db6backed Bucks | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…a015backed Bucks | 50c | 102.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Thunder | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Bucks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Bucks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Bucks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…cce4backed Thunder | 62c | 96.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder | 57c | 92.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Thunder | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Bucks | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. BucksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.