NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75eae6069bf296413e3e31b04b75785d0ffeb0f6368bfc3304d657b1f8f5bf34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Canucks, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $578,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Canucks | 43c | 216,146$92,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,655.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lightning | 58c | 178,545$103,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,948.33 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Canucks | 40c | 104,438$42,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,369.58 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lightning | 60c | 72,068$43,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,586.23 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canucks | 27c | 40,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 80c | 37,213$29,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,737.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lightning | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 60c | 25,601$15,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,277.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks | 39c | 13,471$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…8f1abacked Canucks | 39c | 10,960$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 60c | 10,450$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.64 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…130fbacked Canucks | 39c | 10,448$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,373.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks | 40c | 8,995$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 60c | 8,938$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.56 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 59c | 8,800$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,192 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b573backed Lightning | 62c | 7,870$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…339ebacked Canucks | 38c | 7,849$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…1b0dbacked Lightning | 61c | 7,705$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d672backed Canucks | 65c | 7,454$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…b0abbacked Lightning | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…4a2dbacked Canucks | 39c | 6,991$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…27aabacked Lightning | 61c | 6,663$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lightning | 57c | 6,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7be…9105backed Lightning | 61c | 5,604$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 71c | 5,000$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.73 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canucks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 21c | 4,717$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.15 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Lightning | 60c | 3,987$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lightning | 61c | 3,200$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.28 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lightning | 60c | 3,052$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.2 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…3cd0backed Lightning | 79c | 2,910$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lightning | 9c | 2,835$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.15 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 57c | 2,780$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.36 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks | 49c | 2,568$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.67 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Lightning | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 59c | 2,256$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.49 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lightning | 59c | 2,239$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.64 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canucks | 40c | 2,190$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 59c | 2,076$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.87 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Canucks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,971$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.55 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 14c | 1,970$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 14c | 1,900$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.92 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 59c | 1,825$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.68 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 60c | 1,789$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.07 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…447abacked Canucks | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Canucks | 40c | 1,696$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Canucks | 40c | 1,682$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.49 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lightning | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Canucks | 42c | 1,611$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.85 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Lightning | 64c | 1,551$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.71 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Lightning | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Canucks | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.97 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 60c | 1,398$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.68 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 63c | 1,385$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.78 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…08a5backed Canucks | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 23c | 1,225$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Lightning | 31c | 1,189$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Canucks | 39c | 1,154$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.85 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lightning | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed Canucks | 26c | 1,021$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Canucks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canucks | 40c | 832.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 59c | 809$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.31 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canucks | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Lightning | 59c | 798.84$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 60c | 750.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lightning | 61c | 718$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Canucks | 39c | 707.17$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.38 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Lightning | 60c | 698.72$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lightning | 45c | 674.97$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.53 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 54c | 643.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 46c | 632.23$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Canucks | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canucks | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Lightning | 3c | 576.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Canucks | 33c | 566.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.08 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Canucks | 24c | 546.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.75 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canucks | 19c | 502.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.7 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Lightning | 71c | 500.25$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Lightning | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Canucks | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Canucks | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Lightning | 61c | 486.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Lightning | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 61c | 416$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Lightning | 59c | 404$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.24 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Canucks | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lightning | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Canucks | 28c | 389$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.08 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lightning | 63c | 383.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Canucks | 15c | 379.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.18 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Canucks | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Lightningthis page
- Canucks vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.