Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Creighton Bluejays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7dee57015cb2cf528566563d60df11fce45b6abaf4e9cc92738003b93b7f8a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Oregon Ducks, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Creighton Bluejays | 59c | 5,533$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.67 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 3,273$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon Ducks | 28c | 2,806$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.55 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks | 44c | 1,931$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.12 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 65c | 1,685$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Oregon Ducks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Oregon Ducks | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 54c | 1,074$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Creighton Bluejays | 59c | 628$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Oregon Ducks | 16c | 499$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 446.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 357.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 355$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…a8a3backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 330$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Oregon Ducks | 31c | 260.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oregon Ducks | 44c | 246$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 240.95$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Oregon Ducks | 31c | 234.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Creighton Bluejays | 49c | 208.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 56c | 197.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 160.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Oregon Ducks | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Oregon Ducks | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Oregon Ducks | 14c | 147.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Oregon Ducks | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Oregon Ducks | 14c | 118.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Oregon Ducks | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon Ducks | 44c | 103$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…00dfbacked Oregon Ducks | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…a797backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 93.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 90.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Creighton Bluejays | 67c | 90.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…b6f2backed Oregon Ducks | 61c | 82.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon Ducks | 16c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 51.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Oregon Ducks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon Ducks | 42c | 47.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…569cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 43c | 34.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…8bfebacked Oregon Ducks | 57c | 34.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 30.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 26.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Oregon Ducks | 45c | 26.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Creighton Bluejays | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f32…491cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed Oregon Ducks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…890fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon Ducks vs. Creighton Bluejaysthis page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 151.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Oregon Ducks (-1.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.