Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe19d8e22866bade94ae85d59a11749100de7b9dd6655527ff54cbb4dd1584e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 17,739$7,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,602.33 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 10,729$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 5,601$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 5,043$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.83 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 4,209$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.63 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…758ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,950$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 39c | 3,173$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.34 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,781$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…51ebbacked No | 60c | 1,827$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 666$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 594.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 450$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 44c | 443.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 48c | 350$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 6c | 340$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Yes | 26c | 329.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 243.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 70c | 174.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 172.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 60c | 130.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 43c | 117.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 107.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 70c | 102.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 14c | 86.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed No | 64c | 78.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed No | 50c | 75.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…a9debacked Yes | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 40c | 58.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 37c | 53.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…e40abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…f150backed No | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 66c | 28.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 42c | 27.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…fe13backed Yes | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 45c | 22.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 15.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.