Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb22e3cbdaeef0ad0a80b914336249e987e93f2a8fdd41cbbb2567928419f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 33c | 25,000$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 17,842$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,941.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 77c | 4,879$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 71c | 2,688$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.43 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 1,900$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.25 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 1,258$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.08 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 34c | 777.44$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 67c | 474.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 430$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 337.26$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 18c | 223$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…1439backed Yes | 79c | 151.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 56c | 133.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 128.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 18c | 111.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 103$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 72c | 100.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 97.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 83.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +120%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 62c | 68.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 75c | 65.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 67c | 59.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 65c | 37.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…4883backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…f2fabacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 44c | 27.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…3ab7backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc22…b893backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 75c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…fe13backed No | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…80f0backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…268cbacked Yes | 78c | 16.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…7164backed No | 79c | 15.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.