Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050709875e362fb2d6da2d08c16d0a4fe3ef1de38275924928976afa3942ce13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 4,315$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 76c | 3,614$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.12 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 1,422$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.4 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 624$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 9c | 270.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 215.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 167.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 151$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Yes | 25c | 128.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 28c | 108.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 75c | 60.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 72c | 35.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 25.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…fe13backed No | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-11-21?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.