South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b33b59af9a0f90ad4afa2e6043af2147b09fdec65bf3e2a0808e58bd581919a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 4,270$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.77 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 42c | 3,738$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,294$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 2c | 1,792$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 38c | 598.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 45c | 442.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 60c | 434.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 5c | 373.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 42c | 299.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 287.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 232.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…66f8backed Yes | 8c | 227.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Yes | 12c | 222$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 33c | 208.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 45c | 162.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 33c | 147.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 35c | 127.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 35c | 113.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c6febacked Yes | 29c | 75.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…3244backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 38c | 29.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-23?No won
- Will CF Universidad de Chile vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.