Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Odense BK win on 2025-12-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc96dcf1db1f45f5106367d88c6992bfc4b91349ea161a40bbe1fabb44acddf1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 47c | 19,482$9,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,067$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…07d5backed Yes | 55c | 1,990$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 1,334$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.48 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 1,216$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.27 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 32c | 886$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 56c | 624.47$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 557.68$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.53 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 532.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 54c | 461.56$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 435.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 408$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 11c | 332.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 288.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 184.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 47c | 147.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 35c | 133.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Yes | 76c | 131.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…671bbacked Yes | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…8d25backed Yes | 53c | 90.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 34c | 71.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 71.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…3536backed Yes | 53c | 47.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 46.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 50c | 41.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 70c | 39.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 30c | 39.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 47c | 27.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…7d49backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…8384backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…2b6bbacked No | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…fb26backed Yes | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Odense BK win on 2025-12-05?this page
- Will FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.