Serie A · resolved market
Will Como vs. Verona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62120725d7e62990c210613dd769fddcc37d7d5e260ce5591cd2e78da4bb569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 26c | 773.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 62c | 603.42$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Yes | 44c | 571.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 542$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 536.82$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 320.64$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 290$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 37c | 255.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 28c | 250$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 120.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…4fadbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…47e6backed No | 75c | 86.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 59.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…b9a8backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…2eddbacked No | 75c | 18.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como vs. Verona end in a draw?this page
- Will Como win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Verona win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.