NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48209edfb476eae30967867f7bff200282ccee9866766dedb50e7fb767c51207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 20,000$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,299.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,771.96 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 8,739$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.29 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 49c | 8,661$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.22 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 6,897$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 6,390$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b9…3f31backed Under | 48c | 4,455$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 4,448$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.23 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05c…c739backed Under | 48c | 4,250$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…41a8backed Under | 48c | 4,215$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…8753backed Over | 52c | 4,088$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…ffa7backed Over | 52c | 4,021$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…47edbacked Over | 52c | 4,021$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…aacfbacked Under | 48c | 4,015$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…4a51backed Under | 48c | 3,958$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca8…ee46backed Over | 52c | 3,952$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5ef6backed Over | 52c | 3,952$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…67d7backed Over | 52c | 3,927$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 45c | 3,927$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…9b48backed Over | 52c | 3,925$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…7ae9backed Over | 52c | 3,877$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…0547backed Under | 48c | 3,852$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…61d1backed Under | 48c | 3,850$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd910…8078backed Over | 52c | 3,765$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…cb57backed Over | 52c | 3,650$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e5e1backed Under | 48c | 3,621$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3631…c27bbacked Over | 52c | 3,611$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2af…473abacked Over | 52c | 3,550$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 3,536$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…d5dbbacked Under | 48c | 3,520$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df1…ef4ebacked Under | 48c | 3,502$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…2a84backed Under | 48c | 3,487$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…eeccbacked Over | 52c | 3,455$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…013ebacked Under | 48c | 3,452$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…7998backed Over | 52c | 3,452$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 46c | 3,446$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.35 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…0b32backed Under | 48c | 3,421$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…19ebbacked Under | 48c | 3,399$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…465bbacked Over | 52c | 3,354$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…864fbacked Over | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…14c1backed Under | 48c | 3,299$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…4774backed Under | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…dc25backed Over | 52c | 3,215$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…8f0fbacked Under | 48c | 3,211$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b42…1e8fbacked Under | 48c | 3,203$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…912ebacked Under | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…5023backed Over | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…5514backed Under | 48c | 3,164$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…aea4backed Over | 52c | 3,095$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae7…485abacked Under | 48c | 3,033$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…f830backed Over | 52c | 3,025$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…cce4backed Over | 52c | 3,021$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…e36ebacked Under | 48c | 3,012$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…7e2abacked Under | 48c | 2,988$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…2853backed Over | 52c | 2,988$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…4a56backed Over | 52c | 2,975$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…3242backed Over | 52c | 2,948$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…23bfbacked Over | 52c | 2,937$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…7c6abacked Under | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…9c81backed Over | 52c | 2,884$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…fe75backed Under | 48c | 2,856$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…0c1ebacked Under | 48c | 2,819$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342a…352abacked Under | 48c | 2,790$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…5acdbacked Over | 52c | 2,765$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 48c | 2,765$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.58 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…4e1fbacked Under | 48c | 2,760$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6443…e086backed Under | 48c | 2,696$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…5a6cbacked Over | 52c | 2,666$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…6db5backed Over | 52c | 2,604$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b1…b759backed Under | 48c | 2,579$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…da9cbacked Over | 52c | 2,510$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 2,026$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 48c | 1,975$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.92 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…9543backed Under | 48c | 1,811$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…10c1backed Over | 52c | 1,724$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3664…0a5bbacked Under | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…4441backed Over | 52c | 1,455$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…69b6backed Under | 48c | 1,433$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 1,379$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…639bbacked Over | 52c | 1,311$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…9255backed Under | 48c | 1,277$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…984cbacked Under | 48c | 1,233$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…504cbacked Over | 52c | 1,211$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…2b9bbacked Over | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,105$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…d2abbacked Over | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41f…8e04backed Under | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…8fb4backed Over | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd184…221bbacked Under | 48c | 844$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…0ce9backed Over | 52c | 821$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 770$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Over | 45c | 666.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5this page
- Bulls vs. HeatHeat won
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Bulls vs. Heat: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.