Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8ea657cb5b515880ecc39509b250db8374cf22dc08b65b516c6d48a77dc128d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 100,003$31,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500.57 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 61c | 42,696$25,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,739.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 16,992$12,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.34 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 58c | 8,118$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.48 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 3,687$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 3,180$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.47 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 44c | 1,913$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 68c | 1,849$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.56 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,200$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 43c | 991.4$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 27c | 987.04$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 44c | 819.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 78c | 477.62$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 386$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 28c | 361.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 354.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 56c | 333$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes | 21c | 196.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…49cfbacked No | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…2476backed Yes | 44c | 189$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…c5c4backed Yes | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…7279backed No | 56c | 186$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 141.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 37c | 133.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 122$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…0b96backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 39c | 94.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 57c | 70.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 37c | 61.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes | 43c | 52.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 80c | 40.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 35.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked No | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 22.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…5487backed No | 57c | 22.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.