Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25cd6959b770ffc530a10f1ec25b98e9a50c87a7eb2ae285d4cd8f02e63287e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 51c | 2,510$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.62 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 44c | 1,444$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.56 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 991.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 745$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 556.33$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 55c | 547.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 516.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 74c | 405.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 77c | 311.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 27c | 214$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 193$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 192.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 68c | 150.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 40c | 148.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 46c | 113.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 54c | 95.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 26c | 63.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 74c | 50.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 26c | 50.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 74c | 50.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…0317backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-07?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.