Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa892a6eb872d2fd252c7ec8036e755efdc247242d014b0d2eddf5069be651d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 17c | 50,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 13,266$9,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 6,015$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.03 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 38c | 3,860$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.04 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 3,084$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.48 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 46c | 2,765$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.82 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,948$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 15c | 1,869$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,057$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 30c | 990$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 657.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 36c | 558.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 450$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 32c | 312$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 24c | 223.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 214$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 185.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 30c | 185.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 63c | 148.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 109.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 100.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 99.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 30c | 86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 29c | 70.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0d19backed Yes | 30c | 46.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 79c | 39.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 31.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed No | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 74cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…2c2abacked No | 71c | 26.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…2dccbacked No | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…4040backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 66c | 18.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 16.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.