Earnings · resolved market
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e757ed568f11b6494cea42e5b07392aad15a647d080ba436e6023836950bbbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 10c | 14,061$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.81 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 11c | 8,475$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.28 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 9c | 6,848$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.2 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 12c | 3,581$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.85 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 11c | 2,899$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 21c | 2,144$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.62 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 8c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 1,613$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…44dabacked No | 7c | 1,130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed No | 12c | 1,125$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 9c | 1,085$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed No | 17c | 1,060$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…e0afbacked No | 12c | 1,006$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…a69cbacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…4a76backed No | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed No | 7c | 997.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 11c | 997.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 958.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…3cd6backed No | 8c | 939.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 19c | 907.74$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 793.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…4febbacked No | 13c | 767.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked No | 13c | 635.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 11c | 632.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 11c | 618.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…a10bbacked No | 17c | 573.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 14c | 546.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 10c | 537.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 79c | 530.03$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 19c | 515.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 12c | 510.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked No | 15c | 505.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed No | 25c | 501.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 11c | 499.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked No | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…22abbacked No | 8c | 499.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed No | 10c | 499.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…047dbacked No | 10c | 405.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes | 79c | 388.21$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…5652backed No | 13c | 372.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e1…fd5dbacked No | 17c | 367.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…bb09backed No | 5c | 364.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…bfa1backed No | 12c | 351.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 17c | 349.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed No | 10c | 332.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…041fbacked No | 20c | 323.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 20c | 321$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…c69bbacked No | 15c | 309.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed No | 16c | 299.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 10c | 295.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…28b1backed Yes | 78c | 256.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed No | 13c | 255.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…28dfbacked Yes | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…4721backed No | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 9c | 249.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed No | 11c | 237.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 77c | 234.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 64cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 11c | 230.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…8127backed No | 9c | 217.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…bd17backed No | 12c | 208.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…f82abacked No | 14c | 207.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…d87fbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…12efbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 7c | 199.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…10a2backed No | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d2…73c2backed No | 10c | 193.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 8c | 188.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 18c | 173.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 79c | 170.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed Yes | 77c | 170.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bee3backed No | 11c | 167.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf93…a876backed No | 9c | 136.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 12c | 133.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked No | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked No | 19c | 130.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed No | 14c | 127.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed No | 17c | 126.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 13c | 119.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 13c | 115.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…3a27backed No | 10c | 113.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed No | 13c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…822fbacked No | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 14c | 108.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.