TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Will Australia win?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes58c42,000$24,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,740.7611445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes54c25,267$13,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,622.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+201.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Yes52c22,868$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,867.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No54c16,540$8,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,872.93850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked No46c14,257$6,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,541.6926130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No31c10,136$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.6833042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No43c10,038$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e20…249bbacked Yes41c4,861$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No28c4,435$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.0576351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes47c4,298$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No58c4,162$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…63b7backed No63c3,805$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Yes39c3,624$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.032850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yes50c3,360$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.413151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed No44c2,884$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No31c2,096$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.128749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Yes54c1,975$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bad…f967backed Yes38c1,900$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0b87backed Yes40c1,735$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0489146.2%42 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No51c1,255$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.12839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked No3c1,224$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.726564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Yes46c1,087$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Yes58c1,000$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb9…f6b3backed No46c978.79$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Yes73c977.47$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.924168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed No6c880.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.552630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes60c831.19$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No47c699.29$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.631838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes69c658.25$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.22740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8973…a37cbacked Yes69c646.72$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes56c624.8$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4115429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes73c600$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes51c590.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.077162%44 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Yes54c544.96$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c2…1540backed Yes45c531.8$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.332250%11 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x91e2…1444backed Yes58c527.16$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…f10ebacked Yes57c524.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c509.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4610863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe90…d9d9backed Yes57c503.25$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes46c439.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.128051.3%41 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…cec7backed Yes39c431$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be9…a23abacked Yes66c418.71$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3f…bb60backed Yes38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.74560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes73c389.3$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6313336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…d868backed Yes67c300.7$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.041936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Yes62c296.55$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.297553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c1…3ac2backed Yes69c290.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.07650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes61c285.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.65749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc313…6307backed Yes70c284.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+132.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa44…56d4backed Yes38c263.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6998…9ff2backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+180.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4a…3242backed No63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1450…ab3bbacked Yes68c236.84$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0d…6c62backed Yes63c222.73$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.567554.7%41 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c220.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5418257.1%104 W · 78 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes33c210$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Yes42c209.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0922241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662e…7068backed Yes46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1091827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e8a…91f0backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abe…2205backed Yes51c197.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824f…c458backed Yes54c186$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes38c181.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6650…93c7backed Yes53c179.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.125942.4%25 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447152.1%37 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a2…8c1abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No43c149.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No42c149.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.425429.6%16 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…0912backed No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x723e…3525backed Yes56c145.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d0…07acbacked Yes36c138.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.91520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3f…8436backed Yes63c130$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Yes57c125.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.832867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd18d…e7b4backed Yes53c122.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.812236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No44c110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd457…0823backed No69c110$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes58c109.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0914853.4%79 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes64c100.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc21…9eb9backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5918…6bfcbacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No31c97.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.993698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…efdbbacked Yes65c92.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3427…005dbacked No45c88.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked Yes55c86.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf7…e497backed Yes55c85.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.344119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7848…5f80backed Yes58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2515940.9%65 W · 94 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e04…c800backed Yes38c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.381050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+58.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9117…496fbacked Yes41c66.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes65c63.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.