College Football · resolved market
Spread: Duke (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f23e805af8fd0cb70fb5faf0bbfd86bd7b987db1afbc3f386c82fe4497c7a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof Duke, UConn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed UConn | 55c | 399,999$220,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,999.77 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Duke | 46c | 383,732$176,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,634.21 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed UConn | 53c | 160,902$85,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,515.01 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Duke | 45c | 42,108$18,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,927.49 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Duke | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Duke | 45c | 27,560$12,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,326.89 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Duke | 45c | 25,600$11,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,474 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Duke | 45c | 22,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed UConn | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke | 44c | 17,378$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.11 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…f918backed UConn | 56c | 14,024$7,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Duke | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Duke | 50c | 10,670$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Duke | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed UConn | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UConn | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.96 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Duke | 45c | 5,314$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.36 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Duke | 44c | 5,095$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.8 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Duke | 44c | 4,753$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.1 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Duke | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Duke | 45c | 3,628$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.06 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Duke | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.99 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Duke | 45c | 3,088$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.38 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Duke | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Duke | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Duke | 50c | 2,095$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed UConn | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed UConn | 50c | 1,826$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.92 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Duke | 44c | 1,812$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.91 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Duke | 45c | 1,534$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.26 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Duke | 44c | 1,497$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked UConn | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Duke | 45c | 1,118$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed UConn | 54c | 1,064$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed UConn | 54c | 925.62$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Duke | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Duke | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed UConn | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Duke | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked UConn | 55c | 760$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed UConn | 50c | 580.68$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Duke | 50c | 572$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Duke | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Duke | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Duke | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed UConn | 54c | 402.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Duke | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed UConn | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Duke | 44c | 330$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Duke | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Duke | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…c060backed UConn | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed UConn | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Duke | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked UConn | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked UConn | 56c | 244.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Duke | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed UConn | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Duke | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed UConn | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…eaefbacked UConn | 56c | 165.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Duke | 45c | 160.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked UConn | 54c | 137.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked UConn | 56c | 133.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Duke | 45c | 121.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Duke | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Duke | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Duke | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Duke | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed UConn | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UConn | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed UConn | 55c | 91.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked UConn | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked UConn | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…8761backed UConn | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked UConn | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Duke | 45c | 71.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed UConn | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…d7a9backed UConn | 55c | 57.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Duke | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea82…0f11backed Duke | 44c | 44.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked Duke | 45c | 44.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Duke | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed UConn | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked UConn | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed UConn | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Duke | 46c | 39.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed UConn | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed UConn | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked UConn | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…e717backed UConn | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…ba86backed UConn | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…c33fbacked Duke | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Duke | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked UConn | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…426cbacked UConn | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Duke | 44c | 27.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UConn | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Duke | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed UConn | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke (-9.5)this page
- Duke vs. UConnUConn won
- Duke vs. UConn: 1H MoneylineUConn won
- Duke vs. UConn: O/U 63.5Over won
- O/U 66.5Over won
- Spread: Duke (-7.5)UConn won
- Spread: Duke (-8.5)UConn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.