TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67e7…d7a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Rizvan Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.39
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.03
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$23.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+145.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.11
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150%+$55.8
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+400%+$80
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$47.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.