TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Mavericks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$575,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Mavericks16c55,343$8,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,854.828022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks12c32,295$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.8781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks15c28,252$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.7435235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockets77c24,054$18,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Mavericks21c23,337$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.5915228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Mavericks15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9512740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks17c19,088$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.5685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks10c18,092$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.4447144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5224…0de8backed Mavericks26c9,591$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.445658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Mavericks16c8,843$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.8914358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks11c8,465$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.821,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Mavericks16c7,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Mavericks33c6,439$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.965339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Mavericks16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks16c6,100$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9761,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e78…4d28backed Mavericks15c5,982$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+74.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks18c5,494$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.42,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks15c5,290$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Mavericks16c4,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302524%6 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets78c3,994$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.131,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd34…140dbacked Mavericks17c3,669$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mavericks14c3,335$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.522,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Mavericks8c3,206$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.518846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks14c3,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Mavericks15c2,560$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.06837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e12…425dbacked Mavericks16c2,400$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks22c2,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks17c2,003$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5533735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Mavericks15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Mavericks9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Mavericks15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016243.8%71 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…41afbacked Mavericks15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be3…aaa9backed Mavericks21c2,000$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Mavericks22c1,824$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.738151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ce…d898backed Mavericks15c1,700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.981050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Mavericks19c1,627$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1920034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets80c1,512$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Rockets68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Mavericks16c1,400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.61,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Mavericks11c1,400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15265218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…632cbacked Mavericks16c1,375$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Mavericks15c1,358$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.87739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Mavericks16c1,213$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Mavericks17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Rockets74c1,170$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.88540%34 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks2c1,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Mavericks18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mavericks16c1,073$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.581,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Mavericks16c1,031$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc172…47cbbacked Mavericks20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a3…bf36backed Mavericks16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf162…63cdbacked Mavericks20c976.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Mavericks15c961.27$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mavericks16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…673abacked Mavericks16c937$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Mavericks19c900$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17117444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks18c852.29$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0336148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks21c846.25$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets72c836.99$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.361,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d7…36fbbacked Mavericks18c820.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502520%5 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Mavericks13c791.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046a…0701backed Mavericks18c765.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Mavericks15c744.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6434645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Mavericks17c735.45$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12565144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Mavericks17c729.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216439.6%65 W · 99 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b0…28f6backed Mavericks14c715$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.13246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Mavericks15c654.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005729.8%17 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0a…2202backed Mavericks16c641.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.691050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed Mavericks17c635.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a4…75f3backed Mavericks16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks31c617.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…99c0backed Mavericks30c606.27$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks19c599.31$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mavericks29c586.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Mavericks14c585.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0224634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6341…227bbacked Mavericks15c581$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…fae2backed Mavericks16c562.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Rockets68c558.48$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.065745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3629…0ea0backed Mavericks16c554.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Mavericks15c537.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8213042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Mavericks21c505.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10453539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Rockets80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009839.8%39 W · 59 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Mavericks20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Mavericks15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Mavericks10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.534524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Mavericks17c486.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854814.6%7 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Mavericks13c477.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.819340.9%38 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x310d…b6e1backed Mavericks16c456$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Mavericks22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014763.3%93 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Mavericks9c454.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409649%47 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Rockets73c444.41$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9913455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Mavericks11c443.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014141.1%58 W · 83 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks16c437.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0470153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Mavericks23c435.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rockets78c401.62$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.051,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b06…449bbacked Mavericks16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…37bfbacked Mavericks16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.