NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d741c8a64858aeace4138d363da6201ea95dcc48cf05eac78844c988b23454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Under | 51c | 80,019$40,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200.19 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 66,844$32,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,976.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 49c | 11,404$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.07 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 8,678$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.78 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 3,514$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.16 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 50c | 3,318$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.27 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…6fcabacked Under | 48c | 2,670$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,561$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…7cc9backed Over | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 51c | 2,035$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.15 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…1f7fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…caeabacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…78f2backed Under | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…76f1backed Over | 52c | 1,761$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x822c…a2fcbacked Over | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…a538backed Over | 52c | 1,634$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…c286backed Under | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f99ebacked Under | 48c | 1,503$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…359bbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd15b…8be2backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…b32dbacked Over | 52c | 1,415$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…b816backed Over | 52c | 1,301$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…d44ebacked Over | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…cc30backed Over | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…e90cbacked Under | 48c | 1,235$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…852dbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…c2f3backed Over | 52c | 1,136$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…9bcbbacked Over | 52c | 1,103$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…c8f3backed Over | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 1,029$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…64d0backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1d24backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 979.66$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.24 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 48c | 967.43$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.06 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…47b7backed Under | 48c | 898$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97aa…7881backed Under | 48c | 866$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Under | 51c | 864.71$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…7abdbacked Over | 50c | 864.08$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…65b4backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…f01dbacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…ae92backed Under | 48c | 791$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…2babbacked Over | 52c | 789$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…d625backed Under | 48c | 714$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…c740backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…b231backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…2d01backed Under | 48c | 680$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…9d75backed Under | 48c | 677$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…70cebacked Under | 48c | 674$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…3183backed Over | 52c | 640$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9515…da75backed Over | 52c | 612$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Over | 52c | 610$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Under | 48c | 610$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…cdbbbacked Under | 48c | 549$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a04…5027backed Over | 52c | 520$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…37a7backed Under | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2da…450cbacked Under | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…0a93backed Under | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…e1c3backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…8a4fbacked Under | 48c | 483$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…5fb6backed Under | 48c | 481$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 459.3$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.57 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…20a3backed Under | 48c | 453$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…ce57backed Under | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…c056backed Under | 48c | 430$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb7…935cbacked Under | 48c | 422$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…246dbacked Under | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…ede2backed Over | 52c | 378$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 373.04$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…74f9backed Over | 52c | 353$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…cc7dbacked Under | 48c | 336$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…f7f1backed Over | 52c | 327$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…e889backed Under | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…461ebacked Under | 48c | 283$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…155fbacked Over | 52c | 237$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 47c | 213.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 163$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 126.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…59fbbacked Under | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Under | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…70c3backed Over | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Under | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 50c | 61.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…35adbacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…ae1abacked Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Under | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…a8c1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Mavericks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.