Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5798a123e0283acd48fc233499879b5daf6f3e768a819f3f1da589d029923801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 46c | 80,000$36,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 50c | 61,692$31,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,151.54 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 17,966$11,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,694.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 1c | 3,180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.82 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 73c | 959.84$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 890.48$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.58 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 44c | 764$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.16 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed No | 45c | 753.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 607$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.59 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…8272backed No | 55c | 573.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 503$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.19 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 381.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 175.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 131.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 73c | 87.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…d7a9backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…685ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked No | 58c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Yes | 67c | 14.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.