UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4506d47341a6907c55a9225f824044652644b8d3eaa5b0365ec233c15d26bba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bogdan Gradof Dennis Buzukja, Bogdan Grad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $621,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Bogdan Grad | 65c | 120,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,999.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Dennis Buzukja | 2c | 106,549$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Dennis Buzukja | 37c | 62,068$22,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,844.3 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 51,429$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Dennis Buzukja | 16c | 39,019$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.98 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Bogdan Grad | 65c | 38,047$24,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,363.74 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dennis Buzukja | 3c | 27,908$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.69 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Dennis Buzukja | 33c | 18,828$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.07 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bogdan Grad | 67c | 16,654$11,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.38 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Bogdan Grad | 65c | 11,248$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.11 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dennis Buzukja | 12c | 10,865$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.28 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Dennis Buzukja | 1c | 7,004$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Dennis Buzukja | 28c | 6,569$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dennis Buzukja | 32c | 6,345$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.26 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bogdan Grad | 63c | 6,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Bogdan Grad | 63c | 5,410$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Dennis Buzukja | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Dennis Buzukja | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Dennis Buzukja | 37c | 4,849$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.1 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Dennis Buzukja | 11c | 4,179$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dennis Buzukja | 32c | 3,869$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.12 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 3,540$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.27 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Dennis Buzukja | 21c | 3,500$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.39 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 3,499$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.57 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Bogdan Grad | 68c | 3,119$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.05 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Dennis Buzukja | 24c | 3,089$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Dennis Buzukja | 17c | 2,978$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.47 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Dennis Buzukja | 19c | 2,937$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.59 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Bogdan Grad | 66c | 2,877$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Dennis Buzukja | 36c | 2,775$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 2,571$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 2,493$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.45 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 2,443$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.76 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dennis Buzukja | 28c | 2,217$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.15 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 2,096$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.45 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Bogdan Grad | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Dennis Buzukja | 33c | 1,956$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.58 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bogdan Grad | 66c | 1,950$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Dennis Buzukja | 33c | 1,816$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 1,748$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 1,716$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 1,661$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 1,531$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.4 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 1,503$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.97 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Bogdan Grad | 68c | 1,481$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.09 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Bogdan Grad | 67c | 1,340$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Bogdan Grad | 76c | 1,326$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Bogdan Grad | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Dennis Buzukja | 21c | 1,196$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Dennis Buzukja | 32c | 1,181$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.35 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Dennis Buzukja | 9c | 1,126$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dennis Buzukja | 8c | 1,059$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Bogdan Grad | 73c | 1,050$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Dennis Buzukja | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bogdan Grad | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Bogdan Grad | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Dennis Buzukja | 10c | 963.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 920.8$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Dennis Buzukja | 32c | 914.12$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Dennis Buzukja | 33c | 893.57$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Dennis Buzukja | 27c | 880$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 805$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…044fbacked Bogdan Grad | 66c | 804$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Bogdan Grad | 63c | 793.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Bogdan Grad | 64c | 774.84$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.94 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Bogdan Grad | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Dennis Buzukja | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Dennis Buzukja | 15c | 732.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Dennis Buzukja | 8c | 726$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 685.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Bogdan Grad | 66c | 673$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Bogdan Grad | 65c | 662.55$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Dennis Buzukja | 13c | 638.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Bogdan Grad | 66c | 635.29$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Bogdan Grad | 66c | 608.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Bogdan Grad | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Dennis Buzukja | 14c | 601.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Dennis Buzukja | 10c | 560$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bogdan Grad | 67c | 543.86$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bogdan Grad | 65c | 543.04$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Dennis Buzukja | 38c | 527.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Dennis Buzukja | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Bogdan Grad | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Dennis Buzukja | 14c | 487.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…5aecbacked Dennis Buzukja | 28c | 470.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dennis Buzukja | 18c | 465.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Bogdan Grad | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Dennis Buzukja | 31c | 441.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Bogdan Grad | 64c | 435$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Bogdan Grad | 64c | 407$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Dennis Buzukja | 28c | 403.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bogdan Grad | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Dennis Buzukja | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Dennis Buzukja | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Bogdan Grad win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.