College Football · resolved market
Army vs. Air Force
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff7c66a825e0c1d773db9666f4f45ef550c7f851c53cb5d1303d697a51c74c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Armyof Army, Air Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,633,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,847,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,633,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Army | 53c | 581,094$306,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275,016.58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Army | 53c | 488,098$259,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,670.78 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Air Force | 47c | 175,000$81,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,750 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Air Force | 46c | 110,684$51,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,257.99 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Air Force | 47c | 93,007$43,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,486.83 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Air Force | 49c | 82,616$40,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,152.85 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Air Force | 47c | 66,485$31,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,054.87 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Air Force | 49c | 50,295$24,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,644.71 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Air Force | 46c | 45,366$21,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,081.98 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Air Force | 46c | 43,000$19,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,780 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Air Force | 46c | 40,037$18,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,417.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Air Force | 45c | 37,490$16,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,849.69 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Air Force | 47c | 36,993$17,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,396.47 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Air Force | 47c | 27,600$13,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,047.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Air Force | 47c | 26,699$12,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,569.92 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Air Force | 46c | 26,612$12,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,180.54 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Air Force | 48c | 26,000$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Air Force | 47c | 25,419$11,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880.64 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Air Force | 49c | 25,054$12,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,276.46 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Air Force | 49c | 24,123$11,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,708.97 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…e3a5backed Air Force | 47c | 24,000$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Air Force | 46c | 20,711$9,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,527 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Air Force | 50c | 20,250$10,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,125 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Air Force | 48c | 18,167$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,720 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Army | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Air Force | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Air Force | 41c | 14,220$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.64 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Army | 52c | 11,434$5,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.19 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Air Force | 24c | 11,283$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.23 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Air Force | 43c | 10,586$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.34 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Air Force | 38c | 8,730$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…b6f6backed Air Force | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…3686backed Army | 52c | 8,010$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6a…7530backed Air Force | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…c3e6backed Army | 50c | 7,967$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Air Force | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Army | 62c | 6,666$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Air Force | 49c | 6,500$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.99 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Air Force | 33c | 6,219$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.5 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Air Force | 48c | 6,038$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.03 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Air Force | 47c | 5,537$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.71 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Air Force | 14c | 5,416$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.91 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…d2b9backed Army | 50c | 5,230$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Air Force | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Air Force | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Air Force | 50c | 4,968$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.1 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Air Force | 47c | 4,909$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.03 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Army | 52c | 4,241$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Air Force | 49c | 3,950$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.5 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Army | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…3d7ebacked Army | 53c | 3,775$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…955abacked Air Force | 50c | 3,020$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Army | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Army | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Army | 75c | 2,678$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Army | 69c | 2,591$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Army | 52c | 2,505$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…a8c8backed Air Force | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…dfbcbacked Army | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Army | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa861…8ec4backed Air Force | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Air Force | 3c | 2,154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…ea16backed Air Force | 50c | 2,104$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Air Force | 47c | 2,068$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…bfa6backed Army | 51c | 2,063$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Air Force | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Air Force | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Air Force | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Army | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…c6b5backed Air Force | 50c | 1,910$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Air Force | 20c | 1,905$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.21 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…05aabacked Air Force | 50c | 1,898$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa358…fc7ebacked Army | 51c | 1,873$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…7ae0backed Army | 51c | 1,861$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Air Force | 50c | 1,800$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.73 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Air Force | 49c | 1,716$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.26 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Air Force | 49c | 1,661$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.89 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…0da6backed Army | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…93ebbacked Air Force | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Army | 60c | 1,515$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Air Force | 51c | 1,514$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.93 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Air Force | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…05a0backed Air Force | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed Army | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…9d91backed Army | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…ba82backed Air Force | 50c | 1,322$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Air Force | 39c | 1,285$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Air Force | 48c | 1,220$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Air Force | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…220abacked Army | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Army | 66c | 1,122$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Air Force | 47c | 1,083$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Air Force | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Army | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Air Force | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Air Force | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Air Force | 1c | 999$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Army | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Air Force | 48c | 832$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Air Force | 49c | 825$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army vs. Air Forcethis page
- Army vs. Air Force: O/U 48.5Under won
- O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Air Force (-1.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.