College Football · resolved market
Duke vs. UConn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6687e2d381f60e4243a1df71449c4490373453cd7187b1c8106595f8c563c4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof Duke, UConn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Duke | 74c | 210,550$155,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,425.56 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed UConn | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UConn | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked UConn | 26c | 19,000$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,059.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UConn | 26c | 14,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,360 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Duke | 63c | 12,363$7,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,752.89 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed UConn | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed UConn | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UConn | 26c | 8,472$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.64 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed UConn | 28c | 8,342$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.07 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Duke | 72c | 5,162$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.64 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed UConn | 50c | 5,127$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.36 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed UConn | 26c | 4,617$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.58 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed UConn | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UConn | 27c | 3,784$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.32 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed UConn | 27c | 3,514$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UConn | 25c | 2,990$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.5 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UConn | 26c | 2,968$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.98 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UConn | 38c | 2,847$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.28 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed UConn | 26c | 2,636$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.51 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke | 58c | 2,476$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.74 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UConn | 35c | 2,007$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.96 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed UConn | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed UConn | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.95 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed UConn | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Duke | 73c | 1,615$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.98 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Duke | 51c | 1,613$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Duke | 72c | 1,580$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.73 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed UConn | 55c | 1,489$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UConn | 56c | 1,375$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.98 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UConn | 33c | 1,307$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.42 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Duke | 76c | 1,253$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.17 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Duke | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UConn | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.06 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Duke | 77c | 1,084$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed UConn | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Duke | 73c | 986$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Duke | 80c | 970.37$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Duke | 72c | 925.88$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.63 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duke | 74c | 890.76$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UConn | 48c | 883.33$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.33 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed UConn | 27c | 843$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.39 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Duke | 74c | 818.08$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…c0a9backed Duke | 52c | 733.97$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UConn | 26c | 699.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed UConn | 28c | 695$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.4 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Duke | 61c | 638.83$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.03 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…4ec2backed Duke | 78c | 635.9$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Duke | 72c | 546.55$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.79 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed UConn | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed UConn | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked UConn | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke | 50c | 486.35$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UConn | 41c | 454.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Duke | 49c | 451.25$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Duke | 74c | 443.93$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.51 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed UConn | 27c | 405.41$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Duke | 22c | 395.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Duke | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UConn | 27c | 386.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…c681backed UConn | 27c | 370$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed UConn | 27c | 341$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Duke | 74c | 336.3$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed UConn | 32c | 318.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked UConn | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Duke | 40c | 232$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed UConn | 27c | 230$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Duke | 62c | 220.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked UConn | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UConn | 26c | 195$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Duke | 36c | 191.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed UConn | 54c | 184.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UConn | 26c | 172$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked UConn | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Duke | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UConn | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UConn | 29c | 156$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…109abacked Duke | 50c | 144.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed UConn | 27c | 137.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Duke | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Duke | 71c | 126$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed UConn | 42c | 124.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…ae92backed UConn | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed UConn | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked UConn | 26c | 118.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed UConn | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Duke | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed UConn | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…a062backed Duke | 73c | 104$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Duke | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed UConn | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed UConn | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Duke | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Duke | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Duke | 58c | 99.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed Duke | 61c | 89.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…bc3ebacked UConn | 28c | 83.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Duke | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed UConn | 26c | 81.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke vs. UConnthis page
- Duke vs. UConn: 1H MoneylineUConn won
- Duke vs. UConn: O/U 63.5Over won
- O/U 66.5Over won
- Spread: Duke (-7.5)UConn won
- Spread: Duke (-8.5)UConn won
- Spread: Duke (-9.5)UConn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.